espEconomy: strategy and practiceEconomy: strategy and practice1997-99672663-550XИнститут экономики10.51176/1997-9967-2023-2-135-147esp-1061Research ArticleУСТОЙЧИВОЕ РАЗВИТИЕ И ПРИРОДОПОЛЬЗОВАНИЕSUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT AND ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENTВлияние рисков энергетического перехода на устойчивое развитие экономики КазахстанаThe Impact of Energy Transition Risks on the Sustainable Development of Kazakhstan’s Economyhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-2451-0385СаубетоваБ. С.SaubetovaB. S.

Саубетова Б.С. – к.э.н., и.о. ассоциированного профессора, кафедра «Финансы»

микрорайон 32, R00H6B2, Актау

Bibigul S. Saubetova – Cand. Sc. (Econ.), Acting Associate Professor, Department of Finance

32 microdistrict, R00H6B2, Aktau

bs.saubetova@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-7634-5166СаймагамбетоваГ. А.SaimagambetovaG. A.

Саймагамбетова Г.А. – к.э.н., доцент, кафедра «Менеджмент»

микрорайон 32, R00H6B2, Актау

Gaukhar A. Saimagambetova – Cand. Sc. (Econ.), Associate Professor

32 microdistrict, R00H6B2, Aktau

gauhar1973@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-5632-8134ЕстурлиеваА. И.EsturlievaA. I.

Естурлиева А.И. – к.э.н., и.о.ассоциированный профессора, кафедра «Экономика»

микрорайон 32, R00H6B2, Актау

Aigul I. Esturlieva – Cand. Sc. (Econ.), Acting Associate Professor

32 microdistrict, R00H6B2, Aktau

aigul.yesturliyeva@yu.edu.kzhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8605-0372АманиязоваГ. Д.AmaniyazovaG. D.

Аманиязова Г.Д. – к.э.н., профессор, кафедра «Экономика»

микрорайон 32, R00H6B2, Актау

Gulimay D. Amaniyazova – Cand. Sc. (Econ.), Professor, Economic department

32 microdistrict, R00H6B2, Aktau

gulimai_a@mail.ruКаспийский университет технологий и инжиниринга им.Ш.ЕсеноваКазахстанCaspian university of technologies and engineering named after S.YessenovKazakhstan202330062023182135147Copyright © Саубетова Б.С., Саймагамбетова Г.А., Естурлиева А.И., Аманиязова Г.Д., 20232023Саубетова Б.С., Саймагамбетова Г.А., Естурлиева А.И., Аманиязова Г.Д.Saubetova B.S., Saimagambetova G.A., Esturlieva A.I., Amaniyazova G.D.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://esp.ieconom.kz/jour/article/view/1061

Целью исследования является определение перспектив и сложностей энергетического перехода Казахстана, а также анализ направления развития сектора электроэнергетики для преодоления сложностей, сложившихся на сегодняшний день. Мировые тенденции перехода к безуглеродной экономике, основа для которой была заложена в период кризиса 2008 г., в настоящее время усиливаются под влиянием двух факторов. Во-первых, мировым сообществом признан факт изменения климата как результата антропогенного воздействия. Во- вторых, экономический кризис, вызванный пандемией COVID-19, подтолкнул многие государства, инвесторов, а также частные компании к более активной реализации стратегий декарбонизации. Это объясняется не только озабоченностью усиливающимися экологическими проблемами. Декарбонизация и энергетический переход могут стать эффективным инструментом для стимулирования развития экономики за счет развития технологий, привлечения инвестиций и создания новых рабочих мест. Проведен анализ последствий рассмотренного тренда для Казахстана. Показано, что в стратегических документах страны нашел отражение осторожный подход, основанный на планах наращивания экспорта углеводородов. Однако мы считаем, что сохранение данного подхода чревато рядом экономических и политических рисков. По результатам проведенного исследования подчеркивается важность выработки комплексных стратегических подходов, направленных на нивелирование обозначенных рисков, сформулированы конкретные предложения по реализации постепенного энергетического перехода Казахстана.

The purpose of the study is to determine the prospects and difficulties of Kazakhstan’s energy transition, as well as to analyze the direction of development of the electric power sector to overcome the difficulties that have developed today. The global trends of transition to a carbon-free economy, the foundation for which was laid during the crisis of 2008, are currently being strengthened under the influence of two factors. Firstly, the fact of climate change as a result of anthropogenic impact is recognized by the world community. Secondly, the economic crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic has pushed many states, investors, as well as private companies to more actively implement decarbonization strategies. This is not only due to concern about increasing environmental problems. Decarbonization and energy transition can become an effective tool for stimulating economic development through the development of technology, attracting investment and creating new jobs. The analysis of the consequences of the considered trend for Kazakhstan is carried out. It is shown that the country’s strategic documents reflect a cautious approach based on plans to increase hydrocarbon exports. However, we believe that maintaining this approach is fraught with a number of economic and political risks. According to the results of the study, the importance of developing comprehensive strategic approaches aimed at leveling the identified risks is emphasized, and specific proposals for the implementation of a gradual energy transition in Kazakhstan are formulated. 

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.