espEconomy: strategy and practiceEconomy: strategy and practice1997-99672663-550XИнститут экономики10.51176/1997-9967-2023-3-56-67esp-1108Research ArticleУСТОЙЧИВОЕ РАЗВИТИЕ И ПРИРОДОПОЛЬЗОВАНИЕSUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT AND ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENTПрогноз устойчивого развития органического растениеводства Казахстана (масличные культуры)Forecasting Sustainable Development of Organic Crop Production in Kazakhstan (oilseeds)https://orcid.org/0009-0004-2725-7137БолатбекБ. Б.BolatbekB. B.

PhD докторант по специальности «Экономика»

ул. Жандосова 55, 050035, Алматы

Botagoz B. Bolatbek – PhD student in Economics

Zhandossov str. 55, 050035, Almaty

botagoz.bolatbekkyzy@gmail.comhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-1708-8208БектургановаМ. С.BekturganovaM. S.

PhD

ул. Курмангазы 29, A25K1B0, Алматы

Makpal S. Bekturganova – PhD

Kurmangazy str. 29, A25K1B0, Almaty

maka_91@inbox.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-9733-8398СатбаеваГ. С.SatbaevaG. S.

Кандидат экономических наук

ул. Жандосова 55, 050035, Алматы

Gulbarshyn S. Satbaeva – Cand. Sc. (Econ.)

Zhandossov str. 55, 050035, Almaty

gulbarshyn.satbaeva@narxoz.kzhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-1603-5577АбилкайырН. А.AbilkayirN. A.

Исследователь

050040 Алматы

Nazerke A. Abilkayir – Researcher

71 al-Farabi Ave., 050040

abilkaiyr.nazerke@gmail.comУниверситет НархозКазахстанNarxoz UniversityKazakhstanИнститут экономики КН МНВО РККазахстанInstitute of Economics CS MSHE RKKazakhstanКазахский Национальный Университет им. Аль-ФарабиКазахстанal-Farabi Kazakh National UniversityKazakhstan2023021020231835667Copyright © Болатбек Б.Б., Бектурганова М.С., Сатбаева Г.С., Абилкайыр Н.А., 20232023Болатбек Б.Б., Бектурганова М.С., Сатбаева Г.С., Абилкайыр Н.А.Bolatbek B.B., Bekturganova M.S., Satbaeva G.S., Abilkayir N.A.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://esp.ieconom.kz/jour/article/view/1108

Целью данного исследования является проведение анализа состояния органического растениеводства Казахстана. В исследовательской работе исследованы факторы, влияющие на масличные культуры Казахстана. Текущая исследовательская работа направлена на анализ общей динамики органического сельского хозяйства в Республике Казахстан. Рассматриваемый период охватывал семнадцать лет с 2004 по 2021 год. Для анализа данных использовалась программа R и проводился корреляционно – регрессионный анализ. Были представлены результаты исследования, результаты прогноза урожая масличных культур на 2023-2026 годы на четыре года. Результаты исследования показывают, что на объем продукции органического растениеводства Казахстана существенно влияет объем валовой продукции и посевных площадей. Органическое сельское хозяйство является основной целью производства экологически чистой продукции. Результаты исследования могут быть использованы на государственном или местном уровне для разработки программ и стратегий по важности обеспечения устойчивого развития органического растениеводства регионов Казахстана, безопасности отечественных масличных культур, устойчивого развития рынка масличных культур.

The purpose of this study is to analyze the state of organic crop production in Kazakhstan. In the research work, the factors affecting oilseeds of Kazakhstan were studied. The current research work is aimed at analyzing the general dynamics of organic agriculture in the republic of Kazakhstan. The period under review covered seventeen years from 2004 to 2021. To analyze the data, the r program was used and a correlation – regression analysis was carried out. The results of the study, the results of the forecast of harvesting oil-seeds for 2023-2026 for 4 years were presented. The results of the study show that the volume of organic crop production in Kazakhstan has a significant impact on the volume of gross output and arable land. Organic agriculture is the main goal of producing environmentally friendly products. The results of the study can be used at the state or local level to develop programs and strategies on the importance of ensuring the sustainable development of organic crop production in the regions of Kazakhstan, ensuring the safety of domestic oilseeds, sustainable development of the oilseeds market.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.