espEconomy: strategy and practiceEconomy: strategy and practice1997-99672663-550XИнститут экономики10.51176/1997-9967-2023-3-157-173esp-1115Research ArticleМАКРОЭКОНОМИКА, МИРОВАЯ ЭКОНОМИКАMACROECONOMICS, WORLD ECONOMYОценка экономической безопасности экспорта сельскохозяйственной продукции КазахстанаAssessment of Economic Security of Agricultural Exports of Kazakhstanhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-7525-5097АбилдаевС. Т.AbildaevS. T.

Доктор философии (PhD)

ул. Сулейменова 7, 080012, Тараз

Sultan T. Abildaev – PhD of Philological Sciences

7 Suleymenov str., 080012, Taraz

sultan_feb@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0009-0001-9702-218XИскаковаГ. К.IskakovaG. K.

Доктор философии (PhD)

ул. Сулейменова 7, 080012, Тараз

Gulzat K. Iskakova – PhD of Philological Sciences

7 Suleymenov str., 080012, Taraz

gl_iskakova@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-9622-6263АмалбековаГ. Е.AmalbekovaG. E.

Кандидат экономических наук

ул. Сулейменова 7, 080012, Тараз

Gulmira E. Amalbekova – Cand. Sc. (Econ.)

7 Suleymenov str., 080012, Taraz

baken_t@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-5710-0841ДжунусоваД. А.JunussovaD. A.

Кандидат экономических наук

ул. Сулейменова 7, 080012, Тараз

Diloram Junussova – Cand. Sc. (Econ.)

7 Suleymenov str., 080012, Taraz

dilya877@mail.ruТаразский региональный университет имени М.Х.ДулатиКазахстанM.Kh. Dulaty Taraz Regional UniversityKazakhstan202303102023183157173Copyright © Абилдаев С.Т., Искакова Г.К., Амалбекова Г.Е., Джунусова Д.А., 20232023Абилдаев С.Т., Искакова Г.К., Амалбекова Г.Е., Джунусова Д.А.Abildaev S.T., Iskakova G.K., Amalbekova G.E., Junussova D.A.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://esp.ieconom.kz/jour/article/view/1115

Сельскохозяйственный   сектор   экономики   страны   –   это   одно   из   ключевых   направлений роста экономики, элемент расширения экспортного потенциала, который обеспечивает продовольственную, социальную безопасность Казахстана. Оценка вероятности и степени угроз в организации экспорта сельскохозяйственной продукции является важным направлением исследования. Исследование основано на следующих научных методах: обобщение, анализ, синтез, статистические методы, графическая визуализация, метод экспертной оценки. Базой анализа стали статистические данные с 2019 по 2021 годы. Этот временной интервал охватывает период до и после пандемии COVID-19 в сфере экспорта продукции сельского хозяйства. Целью исследования является обобщение наиболее важных критериев оценки вероятности и степени угроз в организации экспорта продукции сельского хозяйства. В работе выделены значимые этапы и процедуры организации экспорта, на основе экспертной оценки обобщены индикаторы оценки угроз. Разработанные и предложенные измеримые значения индикаторов позволят предприятию провести оценку, мониторинг вероятности и степени возникновения угроз на этапах процесса экспорта. Применение методики оценки позволит экспортерам, государственными органами рационально организовать инфраструктуру экспорта продукции сельхозпроизводителей.

The agricultural sector of the country’s economy is one of the key areas of economic growth, an element of expanding export potential, which ensures the food and social security of Kazakhstan. Assessment of the probability and degree of threats in the organization of agricultural exports is an important area of research. The research is based on the following scientific methods: generalization, analysis, synthesis, statistical methods, graphical visualization, expert evaluation method. The analysis was based on statistical data from 2019 to 2021. This time interval covers the period before and after the COVID-19 pandemic in the field of agricultural exports. The purpose of the study is to summarize the most important criteria for assessing the likelihood and degree of threats in the organization of agricultural exports. The work highlights the significant stages and procedures of the export organization, and threat assessment indicators are summarized on the basis of expert assessment. The developed and proposed measurable values of indicators will allow the company to assess, monitor the probability and degree of occurrence of threats at the stages of the export process. The application of the assessment methodology will allow exporters and government agencies to rationally organize the infrastructure for exporting agricultural producers’ products.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.