espEconomy: strategy and practiceEconomy: strategy and practice1997-99672663-550XИнститут экономики10.51176/1997-9967-2025-1-136-153esp-1539Research ArticleРЕГИОНАЛЬНАЯ ЭКОНОМИКАREGIONAL ECONOMYМежотраслевой анализ вклада гостинично-ресторанного сектора в экономику КазахстанаCross-Industry Analysis of the Hotel and Restaurant Sector’s Contribution to Kazakhstan’s Economyhttps://orcid.org/0009-0006-9509-6229ИдрышовМ. Б.IdryshovM. B.

PhD докторант, лектор.

ул. 30-ой Гвардейской дивизии 34, Усть-Каменогорск

87079337415

Makhambet B. Idryshov – PhD candidate, Lecturer, East Kazakhstan University named after Sarsen Amanzholov.

30th Guards Division Str. 34, Ust-Kamenogorsk

87079337415

immakhambet@gmail.comhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-0798-1078АпышеваА. А.ApyshevaA. A.

К.э.н., профессор.

ул. 30-ой Гвардейской дивизии 34, Усть-Каменогорск

Asel A. Apysheva – Cand. Sc. (Econ.), Professor, East Kazakhstan University named after Sarsen Amanzholov.

30th Guards Division Str. 34, Ust-Kamenogorsk

asel_gan@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8688-887XШолпанбаеваК. Ж.SholpanbayevaK. Zh.

К.э.н., профессор.

ул. 30-ой Гвардейской дивизии 34, Усть-Каменогорск

Kanshaim Zh. Sholpanbayeva – Cand. Sc. (Econ.), Professor, East Kazakhstan University named after Sarsen Amanzholov.

30th Guards Division Str. 34, Ust-Kamenogorsk

kanshaim.sholpanbaeva@mail.ruВосточно-Казахстанский университет им. Сарсена АманжоловаКазахстанEast Kazakhstan University named after Sarsen AmanzholovKazakhstan202511042025201136153Copyright © Идрышов М.Б., Апышева А.А., Шолпанбаева К.Ж., 20252025Идрышов М.Б., Апышева А.А., Шолпанбаева К.Ж.Idryshov M.B., Apysheva A.A., Sholpanbayeva K.Z.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://esp.ieconom.kz/jour/article/view/1539

Сегодня туризм и индустрия гостеприимства играют всё более значимую роль в экономике Казахстана, формируя мультипликативные эффекты и способствуя развитию смежных отраслей. Целью исследования является количественная оценка влияния конечного спроса гостинично-ресторанного сектора на экономику Казахстана на основе модели межотраслевого баланса. В качестве исходных данных были использовали ежегодные статистические отчеты Бюро национальной статистики РК, агрегированные до 15 укрупнённых отраслей. В исследовании применяются методы расчёта коэффициентов прямых и полных затрат, мультипликаторов выпуска, доходов и добавленной стоимости, а также индексов прямых и обратных межотраслевых связей на основе модели Леонтьева. Результаты показали, что гостинично-ресторанный сектор обладает наибольшим мультипликативным эффектом среди всех отраслей экономики: мультипликатор выпуска составил 2.929; мультипликатор доходов - 0,691; мультипликатор добавленной стоимости - 1,686. Полученные значения отражают высокую степень сопряжённости сектора с другими отраслями и его способность генерировать значительный совокупный экономический эффект при росте конечного спроса. Выводы исследования подчеркивают значимость гостинично-ресторанного сектора как одного из ключевых драйверов экономического роста, особенно в части создания добавленной стоимости и стимулирования занятости. Практическая значимость заключается в том, что усиление внутренней кооперации может ещё больше повысить отдачу от увеличения конечного спроса на услуги гостеприимства. Будущие исследования могут включать развитие динамических и гибридных, позволяющих учесть структурные изменения, ценовые эффекты и технологическую трансформацию в цепочках поставок.

Today, tourism and the hospitality industry are playing an increasingly important role in the economy of Kazakhstan, creating multiplier effects and contributing to the development of related industries. The aim of the study is to quantify the impact of final demand for the hotel and restaurant sectors on the economy based on the intersectoral balance model. Annual statistical reports from the Bureau of National Statistics of Kazakhstan were used as initial data, aggregated into 15 broad industries. Methods were used to calculate coefficients of direct and total costs, output multipliers, income multipliers and value-added, as well as indices of direct and inverse intersectoral relations based on the Leontief model. Results showed that the hotel-restaurant sector had the greatest multiplier effect, with a multiplier of 2.929 for output and 0.691 for income. The value added multiplier was 1.686. The values obtained reflect a high degree of interconnection between the sector and other industries, and its ability to produce a significant cumulative economic impact with increased final demand. The findings of the study highlight the importance of the hotel and restaurant sector as one of the key drivers of economic growth, especially in terms of creating added value and stimulating employment. Practical significance lies in strengthening internal cooperation, which can further enhance the effect of increasing final demand for hospitality services. Future research could include the development of dynamic and hybrid approaches to account for changes in structure, price effects, and technology in supply chains.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.