espEconomy: strategy and practiceEconomy: strategy and practice1997-99672663-550XИнститут экономикиesp-160Research ArticleСтатьиОценка диверсификации экспорта в КазахстанеEvaluation of export diversification in Kazakhstanhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-4051-6170СабденО.SabdenO.osabden@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-4292-7408АдилхановО. Ш.AdilkhanovO. Sh.

PhD докторант

oljas_06@mail.ru2020300320201512535Copyright © Сабден О., Адилханов О.Ш., 20202020Сабден О., Адилханов О.Ш.Sabden O., Adilkhanov O.S.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://esp.ieconom.kz/jour/article/view/160

За последнее десятилетие развивающиеся страны добились очень быстрого экономического роста по сравнению с бывшими развитыми странами и получили возможность максимально расширить экспортную корзину. Поэтому в настоящее время возникла необходимость углубленного изучения уровня диверсификации казахстанского экспорта. Основной целью статьи является определение степени диверсификации экспорта регионов Казахстана, исследование факторов, влияющих на объемы экспорта, и анализ индекса экономической сложности (ЕСІ) на примере регионов. В расчетах индексов Херфиндаля-Хиршмана и ЕСІ были использованы пятилетние данные из 16 областей Казахстана. А факторы, влияющие на увеличение экспортной выручки, изучены с помощью корреляционного графика на примере Казахстана. Исследования выявили высокий уровень диверсификации экспорта в г. Алматы. В Кызылординский, Атырауской, Западно-Казахстанской и Мангистауской областях установлен высокий уровень концентрации экспорта. В заключении проанализированы возможности диверсификации экспорта в стране, дан ряд рекомендаций. Результаты исследований являются эффективным инструментом в реализации экспортной политики регионов и разработке комплексных стратегических планов.

Over the last ten years developing countries have achieved very fast economic growth comparing to the former developed countries and gained the opportunity to vastly widen their export basket. Therefore, nowadays, there is a need for an in-depth study of the level of diversification of the exports of Kazakhstan. The main goal of the article is to determine the degree of export diversification of the regions of Kazakhstan, to study the factors affecting export volumes and to analyze the economic complexity index (ECI) using the example of regions. In the calculations of the Herfindahl-Hirschman and ECI indices, five-year data from 16 regions of Kazakhstan were used. And the factors affecting the increase in export revenue were studied using the correlation graph on the example of Kazakhstan. The study revealed a high level of export diversification in Almaty. On the contrary, Kyzylorda, Atyrau, West Kazakhstan and Mangystau regions showed a high level of export concentration. In conclusion, the possibilities of export diversification in the country were analyzed, a number of recommendations were made. The results of the study will be useful tool in applying export policy of the regions and in developing the complex strategic plan.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.