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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">esp</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Economy: strategy and practice</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Economy: strategy and practice</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1997-9967</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2663-550X</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Институт экономики</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">esp-233</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Статьи</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Денежно-кредитная политика Национального банка Казахстана: хронологический анализ и оценка</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Monetary policy of the National bank of Kazakhstan: chronological analysis and assessment</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7224-0076</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Канагатова</surname><given-names>Д. Б.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kanagatova</surname><given-names>D. B.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">11227799@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3799-1701</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Сидоренко</surname><given-names>В. Н.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Sidorenko</surname><given-names>V. N.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">v_sidorenko@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru">Университет Нархоз<country>Казахстан</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en">University Of Narkhoz<country>Kazakhstan</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru">Московская школа экономики МГУ имени М.В.Ломоносова<country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en">Moscow School of Economics, Lomonosov Moscow State University<country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2020</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>30</day><month>12</month><year>2020</year></pub-date><volume>15</volume><issue>4</issue><fpage>51</fpage><lpage>57</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Канагатова Д.Б., Сидоренко В.Н., 2020</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2020</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Канагатова Д.Б., Сидоренко В.Н.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Kanagatova D.B., Sidorenko V.N.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://esp.ieconom.kz/jour/article/view/233">https://esp.ieconom.kz/jour/article/view/233</self-uri><abstract><p>В статье преследуется цель определения роли и места денежно-кредитной политики в экономическом развитии страны. При проведении хронологического анализа внимание акцентируется на периодах резкой девальвации национальной валюты. Проведена динамическая оценка изменения валютного курса по отношению к доллару США. Последовательно анализируется и оценивается политика Национального банка в условиях кризиса. Проведена эконометрическая оценка инвестиционной функции для обоснование применяемых инструментов денежно-кредитной политики. Основой для построения модели послужили статистические данные в квартальном разрезе за последние десять лет в Казахстане. Авторами были раскрыты необходимые условия возникновения спекулятивных атак на валютном рынке. Основываясь на этих закономерностях, предложены три варианта действия Центрального Банка по предотвращению спекулятивных атак. Эконометрические расчеты также подтвердили выводы, что динамика прямых и портфельных инвестиций обусловлена рентабельностью лидирующих отраслей экономики и изменением валютного курса. Выявленные особенности взаимосвязи накладывают существенные ограничения на возможность использования политики инфляционного таргетирования, которая хотя и снижает уровень инфляции до целевых показателей в краткосрочном периоде, но в долгосрочной перспективе не может обеспечить экономический рост и стабильность цен. Авторы пришли к выводу, что в макроэкономическом регулировании денежно-кредитная политика занимает важную роль. Вместе с тем сырьевая ориентированность экономики накладывает ограничение на использование классических инструментов монетарной политики.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The article aims to determine the role and place of monetary policy in the economic development of the country. When conducting a chronological analysis, attention is focused on the periods of sharp devaluation of the national currency. A dynamic assessment of changes in the exchange rate against the us dollar was made. The policy of the National Bank in the context of the crisis is consistently analyzed and evaluated. An econometric assessment of the investment function is made to justify the monetary policy instruments used. The model is based on quarterly statistics for the last ten years in Kazakhstan. The authors revealed the necessary conditions for the occurrence of speculative attacks on the currency market. Based on these patterns, three options for the Central Bank’s actions to prevent speculative attacks are proposed. The resulting investment model of Kazakhstan allows concluding that the inflation targeting policy cannot ensure sustainable economic growth. The authors concluded that monetary policy plays an important role in macroeconomic regulation. At the same time, the raw material orientation of the economy imposes restrictions on the use of classical monetary policy instruments.Keywords: economic growth, monetary policy, inflation targeting, investments, speculative attacks, exchangerate.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>экономический рост</kwd><kwd>денежно-кредитная политика</kwd><kwd>инфляционное таргетирование</kwd><kwd>инвестиции</kwd><kwd>спекулятивные атаки</kwd><kwd>валютный курс</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>economic growth</kwd><kwd>monetary policy</kwd><kwd>inflation targeting</kwd><kwd>investments</kwd><kwd>speculative attacks</kwd><kwd>exchangerate</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Official Internet Resource of the National Bank of Kazakhstan https://nationalbank. kz/?docid=3321&amp;switch=english</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Official Internet Resource of the National Bank of Kazakhstan https://nationalbank. kz/?docid=3321&amp;switch=english</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Flood R. and Marion N.P. 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