<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.3 20210610//EN" "JATS-journalpublishing1-3.dtd">
<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">esp</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Economy: strategy and practice</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Economy: strategy and practice</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1997-9967</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2663-550X</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Институт экономики</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">esp-239</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Статьи</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Оценка устойчивости государственных финансов Республики Казахстан</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Assessment of the sustainability of public finances of the Republic of Kazakhstan</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7445-787X</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Кожахметова</surname><given-names>М. К.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kozhahmetova</surname><given-names>M. K.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">k-maralk70@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3583-8968</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Кыдыралинов</surname><given-names>Д. С.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kydyraliev</surname><given-names>D. S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">dauletzhan.kydyralinov@narxoz.kz</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1138-5404</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Маркелова</surname><given-names>М. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Markelova</surname><given-names>M. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">markelova_1974@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2952-4660</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Мухаметкалиева</surname><given-names>М. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Muhametkalieva</surname><given-names>M. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">makhabbat.mukhametkalieva@narxoz.kz</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru">Университет «Нархоз»<country>Казахстан</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en">"Narkhoz" University<country>Kazakhstan</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2020</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>30</day><month>12</month><year>2020</year></pub-date><volume>15</volume><issue>4</issue><fpage>111</fpage><lpage>121</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Кожахметова М.К., Кыдыралинов Д.С., Маркелова М.А., Мухаметкалиева М.А., 2020</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2020</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Кожахметова М.К., Кыдыралинов Д.С., Маркелова М.А., Мухаметкалиева М.А.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Kozhahmetova M.K., Kydyraliev D.S., Markelova M.A., Muhametkalieva M.A.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://esp.ieconom.kz/jour/article/view/239">https://esp.ieconom.kz/jour/article/view/239</self-uri><abstract><p>Устойчивость государственных финансов обеспечивает стабильное, эффективное развитие государства и как следствие, повышение уровня и качества жизни населения. Страна, имеющая в качестве основы своего развития внутренние источники финансирования, имеет более устойчивые и высокие долгосрочные перспективы развития и роста. Элементы финансовой системы поддерживают и усиливают друг друга, а основные рычаги воздействия на экономику находятся внутри страны. Только в этом случае можно утверждать, что страна обладает долгосрочным финансовым суверенитетом. В статье проведена оценка устойчивости государственных финансов Республики Казахстан на основе рассчета показателей финансовой устойчивости государства. При этом оценка устойчивости государственных финансов рассматривается с точки зрения воздействия государственного долга, поэтому в качестве индикаторов оценки использованы структурные коэффициенты состава внешнего и внутреннего долга, которые характеризуют долговую нагрузку, долговую зависимость бюджета, гражданина страны, а также долгового предела и т.д. Рассчитанные коэффициенты на основе данных Казахстана были сопоставлены с их пороговыми значениями, в результате чего был сделан ряд выводов об устойчивости государственных финансов РК. Кроме того, были определены коэффициенты, находящиеся на пределе на момент исследования и повышение которых может отрицательно повлиять на устойчивость государственных финансов РК.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The stability of public finances ensures a stable, effective development of the state, and as a result - an increase in the level and quality of life of the population. A country that has domestic sources of financing as the basis for its development has more stable and higher long-term development and growth prospects. The elements of the financial system support and reinforce each other, and the main levers of influence on the economy are within the country. Only in this case it can be argued that the country has long-term financial sovereignty. This article evaluates the sustainability of public finances of the Republic of Kazakhstan based on the calculation of indicators of the financial stability of the state. At the same time, the assessment of the sustainability of public finances in the work is considered from the point of view of the impact of public debt, therefore, structural coefficients of the composition of external and internal debt, which characterize the debt burden, debt dependence of the budget, the citizen of the country, as well as the debt limit, etc. The calculated coefficients based on the data of Kazakhstan were compared with their threshold values, as a result of which a number of conclusions were made about the sustainability of public finances of the Republic of Kazakhstan. In addition, the coefficients were determined that are at the limit at the time of the study, and an increase in which may negatively affect the sustainability of public finances of the Republic of Kazakhstan.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>государственные финансы</kwd><kwd>дефицит бюджета</kwd><kwd>государственный долг</kwd><kwd>финансовая устойчивость</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>public finance</kwd><kwd>budget deficit</kwd><kwd>public debt</kwd><kwd>financial sustainability</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Кредиты на 1,5 млрд евро на борьбу с СOVID-19 возьмет Казахстан в азиатских банках // Казахстанская правда. 2020. 24 ноября.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Кредиты на 1,5 млрд евро на борьбу с СOVID-19 возьмет Казахстан в азиатских банках // Казахстанская правда. 2020. 24 ноября.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Eyraud L., Wu T. Playing by the rules: Reforming fiscal governance in Europe. // IMF Working Paper, 2015. - № 15 (67).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Eyraud L., Wu T. Playing by the rules: Reforming fiscal governance in Europe. // IMF Working Paper, 2015. - № 15 (67).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit3"><label>3</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Смит А. Исследование о природе и причинах богатства народов. В 2-х т. / Ред. Л.И. Абалкин. Пер. с англ., вводная статья Е.М. Майбурда. - М.: Наука, 1993. - 980 с.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Смит А. Исследование о природе и причинах богатства народов. В 2-х т. / Ред. Л.И. Абалкин. Пер. с англ., вводная статья Е.М. Майбурда. - М.: Наука, 1993. - 980 с.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit4"><label>4</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Юм Д. Опыты: о торговле, деньгах, проценте, налогах: сборник / Пер. Гершензон М.О. - URSS, 2012. - 119 с.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Юм Д. Опыты: о торговле, деньгах, проценте, налогах: сборник / Пер. Гершензон М.О. - URSS, 2012. - 119 с.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit5"><label>5</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Рикардо Д. Сочинения. В 5-ти т. / Пер. под ред. чл. -кор. Акад. наук СССР М.И. Смит. - М.: Госполитиздат, 1955. - Т. 1: Начала политической экономии и налогового обложения [2-е изд]. 1955. - 360 с.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Рикардо Д. Сочинения. В 5-ти т. / Пер. под ред. чл. -кор. Акад. наук СССР М.И. Смит. - М.: Госполитиздат, 1955. - Т. 1: Начала политической экономии и налогового обложения [2-е изд]. 1955. - 360 с.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit6"><label>6</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Gali J. Notes for a New Guide to Keynes (I): Wages, Aggregate Demand, and Employment // Journal of the European Economic Association, 2013. - №11 (5). - P. 973-1003.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Gali J. Notes for a New Guide to Keynes (I): Wages, Aggregate Demand, and Employment // Journal of the European Economic Association, 2013. - №11 (5). - P. 973-1003.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit7"><label>7</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Neck R., Sturm J-E. Sustainability of Public Debt, Cambridge, Massachusetts, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2008.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Neck R., Sturm J-E. Sustainability of Public Debt, Cambridge, Massachusetts, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2008.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit8"><label>8</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Кейнс Дж. М. Общая теория занятости, процента и денег. - М., 1978. - С. 454.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Кейнс Дж. М. Общая теория занятости, процента и денег. - М., 1978. - С. 454.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit9"><label>9</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Miles D., Cerny A. Risk, return and portfolio allocation under alternative pension systems with incomplete and imperfect financial markets. // Economic Journal, 2006. - № 116 (511). - P. 529-557.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Miles D., Cerny A. Risk, return and portfolio allocation under alternative pension systems with incomplete and imperfect financial markets. // Economic Journal, 2006. - № 116 (511). - P. 529-557.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit10"><label>10</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Laff argue J-P. Intergenerational Transfers and the Stability of Public Debt with Short-Lived Governments // Mathematical Population Studies, 2009. - № 16 (1) - P. 79-104.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Laff argue J-P. Intergenerational Transfers and the Stability of Public Debt with Short-Lived Governments // Mathematical Population Studies, 2009. - № 16 (1) - P. 79-104.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit11"><label>11</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Heller P. S. Who Will Pay? Coping with Aging Societies, Climate Change, and Other Long-Term Fiscal Challenges - International Monetary Fund, 2003.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Heller P. S. Who Will Pay? Coping with Aging Societies, Climate Change, and Other Long-Term Fiscal Challenges - International Monetary Fund, 2003.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit12"><label>12</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Lindbeck A. &amp; Weibull J. W. Intergenerational Aspects of Public Transfers, Heller P. S. Who Will Pay? Coping with Aging Societies, Climate Change, and Other Long-Term Fiscal Challenges - International Monetary Fund, 2003. Borrowing and Debt // Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 1986. - № 88 (1), P. 239-267.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Lindbeck A. &amp; Weibull J. W. Intergenerational Aspects of Public Transfers, Heller P. S. Who Will Pay? Coping with Aging Societies, Climate Change, and Other Long-Term Fiscal Challenges - International Monetary Fund, 2003. Borrowing and Debt // Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 1986. - № 88 (1), P. 239-267.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit13"><label>13</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Fan J., Arghyrou M. G. UK Fiscal Policy Sustainability // The Manchester School, 2013. - № 81 (6). - P. 961-991.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Fan J., Arghyrou M. G. UK Fiscal Policy Sustainability // The Manchester School, 2013. - № 81 (6). - P. 961-991.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit14"><label>14</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Reinhart C., Rogoff K. Banking Crises: An Equal Opportunity Menace. -NBER, 2008.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Reinhart C., Rogoff K. Banking Crises: An Equal Opportunity Menace. -NBER, 2008.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit15"><label>15</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Reinhart C., Rogoff K. This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly // Princeton University Press, 2009.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Reinhart C., Rogoff K. This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly // Princeton University Press, 2009.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit16"><label>16</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Reinhart C, Rogoff K. From financial crash to debt crisis // Am. Econ. Rev., 2011.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Reinhart C, Rogoff K. From financial crash to debt crisis // Am. Econ. Rev., 2011.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit17"><label>17</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Furceri D, Zdzienicka A. How costly are debt crises? - J. Int. Money Financ. Elsevier, 2012.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Furceri D, Zdzienicka A. How costly are debt crises? - J. Int. Money Financ. Elsevier, 2012.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit18"><label>18</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Athanasios O.T. Financial stability indicators and public debt developments // Q. Rev. Econ. Financ, 2014. - № 54 (2). - P.158-179.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Athanasios O.T. Financial stability indicators and public debt developments // Q. Rev. Econ. Financ, 2014. - № 54 (2). - P.158-179.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit19"><label>19</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Kumhof M, Tanner E. Government Debt: A Key Role in Financial Intermediation // Washington: International Monetary Fund, 2005. - №0 5:57. - 29 p.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Kumhof M, Tanner E. Government Debt: A Key Role in Financial Intermediation // Washington: International Monetary Fund, 2005. - №0 5:57. - 29 p.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit20"><label>20</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Houben A, Jan K, Garry S. Toward a Framework for Safeguarding Financial Stability // IMF Working Paper, 2004. - №0 4:101. - 48 p.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Houben A, Jan K, Garry S. Toward a Framework for Safeguarding Financial Stability // IMF Working Paper, 2004. - №0 4:101. - 48 p.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit21"><label>21</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Janáček K, Hlaváče K.M, Komárek L, Komárková Z. Impacts of the Sovereign Default Crisis on the Czech Financial Sector // CNB, Financial Stability Report 2011/2012</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Janáček K, Hlaváče K.M, Komárek L, Komárková Z. Impacts of the Sovereign Default Crisis on the Czech Financial Sector // CNB, Financial Stability Report 2011/2012</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit22"><label>22</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Rowley C. K., Shughart W. F., Tollison R.D. (eds.). The Economics of Budget Deficits. Cheltenham, Edward Elgar, 2002.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Rowley C. K., Shughart W. F., Tollison R.D. (eds.). The Economics of Budget Deficits. Cheltenham, Edward Elgar, 2002.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit23"><label>23</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Ермакова Е.А. Оценка устойчивости государственных финансов // Государственные финансы. - 2012. - № 37 (517). -- С. 2-8.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Ермакова Е.А. Оценка устойчивости государственных финансов // Государственные финансы. - 2012. - № 37 (517). -- С. 2-8.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit24"><label>24</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Статистика внешнего долга. Агентство Республики Казахстан по регулированию и развитию финансового рынка // URL: https://www.finreg. kz/?docid=346&amp;switch=russian (Дата обращения: 06.09.2020)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Статистика внешнего долга. Агентство Республики Казахстан по регулированию и развитию финансового рынка // URL: https://www.finreg. kz/?docid=346&amp;switch=russian (Дата обращения: 06.09.2020)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit25"><label>25</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Министерство финансов Республики Казахстан. Статистика государственного долга РК // URL: http://www.minfin.gov.kz/irj/servlet/prt/portal/ prtroot/pcd! (дата обращения: 06.09.2020)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Министерство финансов Республики Казахстан. Статистика государственного долга РК // URL: http://www.minfin.gov.kz/irj/servlet/prt/portal/ prtroot/pcd! (дата обращения: 06.09.2020)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit26"><label>26</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Государственные финансы. Евразийская экономическая комиссия // URL: http://www. eurasiancommission.org/ru/act/integr_i_makroec/dep_ stat/fin_stat/time_series/Pages/gfs.aspx</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Государственные финансы. Евразийская экономическая комиссия // URL: http://www. eurasiancommission.org/ru/act/integr_i_makroec/dep_ stat/fin_stat/time_series/Pages/gfs.aspx</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref></ref-list><fn-group><fn fn-type="conflict"><p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p></fn></fn-group></back></article>
