espEconomy: strategy and practiceEconomy: strategy and practice1997-99672663-550XИнститут экономики10.51176/1997-9967-2021-3-167-176esp-332Research ArticleСтатьиВлияние Covid-19 на тенденцию старения и пенсионную систему: ключевые вопросы в политикеImpact of COVID-19 on Ageing and Retirement System: Key Policy Considerationshttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-3765-8036ИзекеноваА. К.IzekenovaA. K.

Изекенова Асель Кулынтаевна - PhD

пр. Абая, 8а, 050010, Алматы, Казахстан

+87018874630

Assel K. Izekenova - PhD

Abaya Ave., 8a, 050010, Almaty, Kazakhstan

izekenova.a@uib.kzhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-7484-2305РахматуллинаА. Т.RakhmatullinaA. T.

Рахматуллина Алина Тәттімбетқызы - магистр

пр. Абая, 8а, 050010, Алматы, Казахстан

Alina T. Rakhmatullina - master’s degree

Abaya Ave., 8a, 050010, Almaty, Kazakhstan

Rakhmatullina.alina@gmail.comhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-3850-8689ИзекеноваА. К.IzekenovaA. K.

Изекенова Айгульсум Кулынтаевна - PhD

ул. Толе Би, 94, 050012, Алматы, Казахстан

Aigulsum K. Izekenova - PhD

94 Tole Bi str., 050012, Almaty, Kazakhstan

izekenova.a@kaznmu.kzhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8121-3259ТолегеноваА. С.TolegenovaA.

Толегенова Акбота Сакенқызы - магистр

ул. Толе Би, 94, 050012, Алматы, Казахстан

Akbota Tolegenova - master’s degree

94 Tole Bi str., 050012, Almaty, Kazakhstan

atolegenova@alumni.nu.edu.kzhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8910-6239ЕрмекбаеваД. Д.YermekbayevaD. D.

Ермекбаева Динара Джасузаковна - PhD

пр. Абая, 8а, 050010, Алматы, Казахстан

Dinara D. Yermekbayeva - PhD

Abaya Ave., 8a, 050010, Almaty, Kazakhstan

ermekbaeva.d@uib.kzУниверситет международного бизнесаКазахстанUniversity of International BusinessKazakhstanКазНМУ им. С.Д. АсфендияроваКазахстанAsfendiyarov Kazakh National Medical UniversityKazakhstan202130092021163167176Copyright © Изекенова А.К., Рахматуллина А.Т., Изекенова А.К., Толегенова А.С., Ермекбаева Д.Д., 20212021Изекенова А.К., Рахматуллина А.Т., Изекенова А.К., Толегенова А.С., Ермекбаева Д.Д.Izekenova A.K., Rakhmatullina A.T., Izekenova A.K., Tolegenova A., Yermekbayeva D.D.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://esp.ieconom.kz/jour/article/view/332

Авторами предпринята попытка проведения междисциплинарного исследования в области эпидемиологии, демографии и пенсионной экономики. Литература была отобрана с учетом ее релевантности следующим ключевым словам: COVID-19, старение и пенсионная система. В исследовании применялись следующие методы: исторический контент-анализ, информационно-аналитический, сравнительный анализ. Аналитическая часть в большей степени состоит из вторичных данных Комитета по статистике Республики Казахстан и отчетов мировых признанных институтов, таких как ВОЗ, ООН и Всемирный банк. В демографическом анализе широко использовались традиционные и альтернативные индексы старения населения, такие как коэффициент зависимости пожилого населения (OADR) и предполагаемый коэффициент зависимости пожилого населения (POADR). В Казахстане к 5 августа 2020 года зарегистрировано 94 882 кейса КВИ, из которых выздоровели - 67031 человек, случаи наступления смерти - 1058. Путаница в демографической статистике официальной регистрации COVID-19 отобразила ее недостатки. Несмотря на то, что коэффициенты OADR и POADR растут в соответствии с прогнозом ООН, глобальная пандемия внесет коррективы в процесс старения населения, поскольку смертность пожилого населения от этого заболевания выше, чем в других возрастных группах. Казахстанская пенсионная система пострадала от последствий COVID-19. Человеческие потери, снижение доходов и рост пенсионных расходов являются нелегким бременем для государственного бюджета. В исследовании представлены рекомендации по вспомогательным мерам в нескольких направлениях, которые должны быть предприняты политиками в период пост COVID-19 в пенсионной системе.

The authors attempt to conduct interdisciplinary research in epidemiology demography and pension economics. A literature was selected upon its relevance to the following key words: COVID-19, ageing and retirement system. The following methods are used: Historical content analysis, information, and analytical, comparative analysis. The analysis part is mainly based on secondary data of Committee on Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan and world recognized institutions’ reports such as World Health Organization, United Nations and World Bank. In the demographic analysis the traditional and alternative indices of population ageing such as Old Age Dependency Ratio (OADR) and Prospective Old Age Dependency Ratio (POADR) were widely used. By August 5, 2020, Kazakhstan has 94,882 registered cases of CVI, 67031 people recovered and 1058 deaths. Confusion in the demographic statistics of COVID-19 cases showed all the shortcomings. Even though the OADR and POADR ratios are rising in accordance with UN forecast, the global pandemic will adjust the population ageing, since the mortality of the elderly population from this disease is higher than in other age groups. The Kazakhstani retirement system has been suffered by the COVID-19 as well. Human losses, income poverty and increase in pension costs put a burden on state budget. The research presents recommendations on supporting measures in several directions that need to be taken by policy makers during post COVID-19 period in retirement system.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.