espEconomy: strategy and practiceEconomy: strategy and practice1997-99672663-550XИнститут экономики10.51176/1997-9967-2022-4-145-157esp-886Research ArticleЭКОНОМИКА, ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКАЯ ТЕОРИЯ И ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКИЙ РОСТECONOMY, ECONOMIC THEORY AND ECONOMIC GROWTHСельскохозяйственные факторы, влияющие на экономическое развитие КазахстанаThe Agricultural Factors Influencing the Economic Development of Kazakhstanhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-4841-4742ДжусибалиеваА. К.JussibaliyevaA. K.

Джусибалиева А.К. - к.э.н., ассоциированный профессор

Астана

Aruzhan K. Jussibaliyeva – Candidate of Economic Science, Associate Professor

Astana

d_aruzhan2011@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8550-8273СолтанбаеваА. Б.SoltanbayevaA. B.

Солтанбаева А.Б. – PhD докторант

пр. Абая 8А, A26P9F3, Алматы

87272598005

Aierke B. Soltanbayeva – PhD student

8A Abay Ave., A26P9F3, Almaty

87272598005

aierke.soltanbayeva@gmail.comhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-7841-2572ТлеубердиеваС. С.TleuberdiyevaS. S.

Тлеубердиева С.С. – PhD, доцент

Астана

Saltanat S. Tleuberdiyeva – PhD, associate professor

Astana

tleuberdieva@yandex.ruНаучно-исследовательская компания «Инноватор»КазахстанScientific and Production Enterprise “Innovator” LLPKazakhstanУниверситет международного бизнеса им. К. СагадиеваКазахстанUniversity of International BusinessKazakhstanЕвразийский национальный университет им. Л.Н. ГумилеваКазахстанL. N. Gumilyov Eurasian National UniversityKazakhstan202231122022174145157Copyright © Джусибалиева А.К., Солтанбаева А.Б., Тлеубердиева С.С., 20222022Джусибалиева А.К., Солтанбаева А.Б., Тлеубердиева С.С.Jussibaliyeva A.K., Soltanbayeva A.B., Tleuberdiyeva S.S.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://esp.ieconom.kz/jour/article/view/886

Целью данной статьи является определение влияния факторов сельского хозяйства на экономический рост Казахстана. В литературном обзоре проанализировано современное состояние аграрного сектора и указана роль казахстанского сельского хозяйства в развитии экономики в мире. На основе использования программы SPSS был проведен множественный регрессионный анализ для исследования связи между шестью независимыми переменными и одной зависимой переменной экономического роста, выраженного в виде ВВП на душу населения. При построении регрессии использовались четыре фактора, а именно инвестиции в сельское хозяйство, урожайность, поголовье крупного рогатого скота и птицы и валовой выпуск сельскохозяйственных услуг, дополнительно также были учтены процентная ставка и уровень безработицы. Описательная статистика для переменных была взяты из Бюро национальной статистики за период с 2003 по 2021 год. Были выдвинуты три гипотезы, две из них были приняты на уровне значимости 5%. Третья гипотеза не была отвергнута, в то же время не было и оснований для ее принятия. Согласно результатам, наблюдается небольшое изменение ВВП на душу населения при изменении инвестиций в сельское хозяйство и урожайности на одну единицу. Также изменение зависимой переменной при изменении поголовья крупного рогатого скота и птицы и валовой продукции сельскохозяйственных услуг на одну единицу было незначительным при α=0,05. Результаты исследования могут быть использованы правительством для развития экономики в перспективе сельского хозяйства.

This article aims to identify the impact of factors of agriculture on the economic growth of Kazakhstan. The literature review analyzes the current state of the agricultural sector and indicates the role of Kazakh agriculture in the development of the economy in world. Using the SPSS program, a multiple regression analysis was performed to investigate the relationship between six independent variables and one dependent variable of economic growth expressed as GDP per capita. When constructing the regression, four factors were used, namely investments in agriculture, productivity, livestock of cattle and poultry, and gross output of agricultural services, in addition, the interest rate and the unemployment rate were also taken into account. Descriptive statistics for variables were taken from the Bureau of National Statistics from 2003 to 2021. Three hypotheses were put forward, and two were accepted on a 5% significance level. The third hypothesis was not rejected, and at the same time, there was no evidence to accept it either. According to the results, a small change in GDP per capita as an investment in agriculture and crop yield change by one unit. Also, the difference in a dependent variable while cattle and poultry livestock and gross output of agricultural services change by one unit were insignificant when α=0.05. The government can use the results of the study to develop the economy from the perspective of agriculture.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.